The absence of Sergei Lavrov, Russia's long-serving foreign minister, from a crucial Kremlin Security Council meeting and the G20 delegation has sparked speculation about his standing with President Vladimir Putin. Lavrov, a heavyweight diplomat, was the only permanent council member missing from the session where Putin urged officials to prepare plans for a potential nuclear weapons test.
During Soviet times, Western analysts carefully studied state event footage, such as military parades on Red Square, to gauge the Kremlin's power structure. Proximity to the leader, body language, and presence at key occasions indicated who was favored or sidelined. Today, Kremlin watchers use similar methods to read political shifts.
Lavrov's nonattendance at the Security Council meeting is unusual and has drawn particular attention since it was reportedly “coordinated”, according to the Russian business daily, Kommersant. This has fueled rumors that he may have lost Putin's confidence.
His absence was “coordinated.”
This development raises questions about the future composition of Putin's inner circle and the influence of key figures in shaping Russia's security and foreign policy.
The coordinated absence of Sergei Lavrov from pivotal Kremlin sessions hints at a possible decline in his influence within Putin's leadership circle.