UFC Vegas 111: Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales Predictions and Betting Guide
The anticipated flyweight contest between Matt Schnell and Joseph Morales brings excitement on November 8th at UFC Vegas 111. Both fighters look to regain momentum within a competitive division where every win carries weight.
Fighter Overview: Matt Schnell
Standing 5’8″ with a 70-inch reach, Schnell holds a 17-9-1 NC record built on an aggressive approach. He lands 4.13 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy while absorbing 4.17. His striking defense sits at 55%, showing balanced awareness in exchanges.
On the ground, Schnell’s numbers reveal mixed efficiency. He averages 0.49 takedowns per fight at 40% success and attempts 1.2 submissions per fight, proving his finishing instincts remain sharp. However, his 43% takedown defense signals a potential issue when facing skilled wrestlers.
Fighter Overview: Joseph Morales
Morales measures 5’6″ with a 69-inch reach and carries a 14-2 record. His output is lower than Schnell’s, landing 2.02 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy while absorbing only 2.11. His 57% striking defense shows superior evasive control.
Morales excels in grappling, securing 1.23 takedowns per fight at 42% accuracy and averaging 2.9 submission attempts—a mark of his ground dominance. Yet his 28% takedown defense poses a clear vulnerability, making him susceptible against pressure-heavy opponents.
Fight Analysis
This matchup shapes into a grappling-heavy duel between two submission specialists. Both showcase high-level finishing instincts but also display weaknesses in defensive wrestling. Expect scrambles, positional battles, and moments of high tension that may end quickly if one seizes control on the mat.
“This clash between proven veterans should deliver explosive grappling exchanges and fireworks.”
Momentum and defensive adjustments will be crucial factors determining who capitalizes first.
Author’s Summary
A technically intriguing flyweight bout where Schnell’s striking volume meets Morales’ submission prowess, promising intense scrambles and a likely dramatic finish.